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Graphic Arts Index

Staff -- graphic arts online, 12/1/2000

Consumer spending on nondurable goods (including items like books, magazines, and greeting cards) had been very strong for the past two years, but annualized growth slowed from 6.0% during the first quarter of this year to 3.6% in the quarter ending in June. During Q3 2000, however, nondurable spending growth accelerated to a 4.9% annualized rate. Overall U.S. industrial production was 5.7% higher at the end of the third quarter of this year than during September 1999. Output growth for most sectors of printing/publishing have exceeded early-year expectations. Price increases generally have been moderate. Nevertheless, average commercial printing prices are expected to rise about 2% this year.

Printing Activity Indicators

Actual Value Q3/99

Q2/00

Q3/00

Annual % Change 1999

2000*

2001*

General Economic (1)

Gross Domestic Product

8,906

9,319

9,382

4.2

5.2

3.6

Business Equipment Investment

1,027

1,147

1,170

14.1

13.8

9.6

Consumer Spending

6,014

6,261

6,330

5.3

5.2

3.4

Actual Value 9/99

8/00

9/00

Annual % Change 1999

2000*

2001*

Industrial Production (2)

Printing & Publishing

104.6

105.5

105.7

-0.7

1.3

0.8

Newspapers

98.9

98.9

99.0

0.9

1.0

0.5

Periodicals, Books & Cards

104.9

108.9

108.6

-4.4

4.5

1.4

Job Printing

107.6

108.7

107.1

0.8

0.3

0.7

Producer Prices (3)

Commercial Printing

152.1

156.1

156.3

0.1

1.9

0.7

Printing Trades Machinery

141.2

142.3

142.5

0.1

0.6

0.3

Printing Ink

135.5

136.0

136.0

-0.7

0.1

0.4

Paper

142.5

151.2

151.2

-2.4

4.0

1.3

(1) Seasonally adjusted annualized rates in billions of 1996 dollars; U.S. Commerce Department

(2) Industrial Production Index; 1992=100, seasonally adjusted; Federal Reserve Board

(3) Producer Price Index; 1982=100; U.S. Department of Labor

* = Forecast

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